Three Factors Behind Donald Trump’s Resounding Win in US Presidential Election 2024

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In an era marked by political volatility and shifting allegiances, Donald Trump has orchestrated what many are calling the most stunning political comeback in the annals of United States history. From a tumultuous tenure marked by two impeachments, multiple felony convictions deemed by his supporters as “flimsy,” relentless investigations, and a barrage of negative media portrayals labeling him as a fascist, deranged, and unstable, Trump’s resurgence to the Oval Office is nothing short of remarkable. Not only has he reclaimed the presidency, but he has also propelled Senate and House candidates to victory alongside him, signaling a potential GOP sweep of all three government branches.

Why Did Trump Triumph? Three Compelling Reasons

  1. A Nation Craving Change: Exit polls reveal that a staggering 70% of Americans felt the nation was on the wrong track and yearned for a change in leadership. While the incumbent, Kamala Harris, promised stability without clear direction, Trump tapped into the electorate’s deep-seated desire for transformation. This echoes Ronald Reagan’s 1980 campaign, where voters were asked, “Are you better off than you were four years ago?”—a question that proved pivotal in shaping the election’s outcome.
  2. Broadening the Base: Trump’s strategic outreach dismantled the so-called “Obama coalition,” attracting substantial support from minorities and younger voters. In a landscape where political divisions often dictate voting patterns, Trump’s ability to appeal across traditional demographic lines was a game-changer. For instance, he secured 54% of Hispanic men—a group that, four years ago, predominantly favored Joe Biden—and doubled his support among Black voters in key swing states like Wisconsin.
  3. Harris’s Faltering Campaign: Kamala Harris’s campaign faltered under the weight of unmet expectations and a lack of clear policy direction. When pressed for concrete plans to “turn the page” from the current administration, Harris was unable to present a single definitive strategy. Her campaign’s reliance on “joy and vibes” over substantive policy proposals left voters yearning for more robust solutions to pressing issues like inflation, immigration, and crime.

Economic Discontent and Political Fatigue

A telling Gallup poll conducted weeks before the election highlighted that 52% of Americans felt worse off under the Biden-Harris administration compared to Trump, with only 39% feeling better off. Additionally, Gallup’s economic confidence indicator plunged to a negative 26—a sign traditionally associated with recessions—underscoring the electorate’s anxiety about the nation’s economic trajectory under Democratic leadership.

Voters expressed frustration with persistent inflation, unchecked immigration, and rising crime rates, all areas where Harris failed to provide convincing alternatives. In contrast, Trump’s campaign was defined by clear, actionable promises: reducing inflation, rolling back burdensome regulations, deporting illegal criminals, dismantling unpopular climate mandates, and lowering taxes. His decision to hold rallies in traditionally Democrat strongholds like New York City and California not only defied political norms but also expanded his appeal and energized his base.

Strategic Missteps by the Democratic Party

Kamala Harris’s choice of Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate, rather than the more moderate and widely respected Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro, proved to be a critical miscalculation. Walz’s progressive stance reinforced Harris’s image as a far-left liberal, alienating moderate voters and failing to appeal to key demographics, including Jewish voters in pivotal states like Florida, New York, and Nevada.

Moreover, the Democratic Party’s reluctance to address President Joe Biden’s declining cognitive capabilities left them vulnerable. The administration’s perceived inability to govern effectively was starkly highlighted during Biden’s disastrous debate performance against Trump in June, eroding public confidence and leading to a lack of viable alternatives within the party.

A New Chapter for the GOP

Donald Trump’s remarkable comeback is a testament to his enduring influence and the GOP’s strategic acumen. By addressing the electorate’s desire for change, broadening his appeal beyond traditional bases, and capitalizing on the incumbent’s shortcomings, Trump has not only reclaimed the presidency but also set the stage for a potential takeover of Congress and the judiciary.

As the nation stands on the cusp of a new political era, Trump’s victory serves as a powerful reminder that resilience, strategic vision, and a deep connection with the electorate can overcome even the most formidable challenges. For millions of Americans seeking a return to policies that prioritize economic growth, national security, and individual freedoms, Trump’s resurgence offers a beacon of hope and a promise of renewed prosperity.

Jennifer Xiao

Jennifer Xiao is a dedicated Political Science graduate student at the Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, Columbia University. With a keen interest in public policy and international relations, she is committed to analyzing and addressing complex political issues. Jennifer's academic journey reflects her passion for fostering a deeper understanding of governance and its impact on global affairs.