Is the American Dream Flipping?
For the first time in the history of the Harvard Youth Poll, more young Americans (ages 18–29) expect to be worse off financially than their parents (27 percent) than better off (25
The Economic Gamble When Tariffs and Sanctions Become a Liability
The Trump administration’s changing approach to Russian energy and international trade raises a larger question about American economic statecraft: can Washington continue to wield tariffs and sanctions as instruments of pressure when
You Can’t Tariff Your Way Out of an Energy Crisis
On September 18, 2026, President Donald Trump signed the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act into law. The statute authorized tariffs of up to 100 percent on the top importers
Double the Tariff, Double the Shock: The Inflationary Danger of Coercive Trade
Last week, I published a comprehensive report titled Weaponizing Commerce: The Mirage of a Coercive Trade Policy, which investigated the historical precedents and structural failures of using tariffs as instruments of geopolitical
Weaponizing Commerce: The Mirage of a Coercive Trade Policy
Historically utilized for domestic protection and geopolitical coercion, tariffs consistently fail as instruments of statecraft. While they offer short-term political posturing and temporary industrial shelter, long-term empirical evidence—from the British Corn Laws
There is No Neutral Map Anymore
For years, Silicon Valley’s preferred answer to political controversy has been that technology is merely infrastructure. Algorithms rank, platforms host, maps map. Politics happens somewhere else. Lake Ontario has just demolished that
The Australian Illusion: Why Banning Teens From Social Media Is a Policy Mirage
When Australia enacted the Online Safety Amendment in December 2025—prohibiting adolescents under 16 from holding accounts on platforms from TikTok to Instagram—the world watched with a mixture of envy and ambition. Confronted
The Anatomy of the Global Talent Deficit
The report outlines a severe, structural global talent shortage projected to reach over 85 million skilled workers by 2030, risking $8.5 trillion in unrealized annual revenue. Driven by demographic aging in developed
What the World Cup Teaches Us About Demography and Development
As the FIFA Men’s World Cup unfolds across North America, billions of people are tuning in to watch what is arguably the planet’s most influential sporting event. A record 48 nations are
The Last Lesson We Learned Before We Forgot It
American education has developed a peculiar habit: every time a new technology arrives, we treat skepticism as a failure of imagination. This is how we got laptops in every classroom. It is
G7 Faces the Economic Fallout of War
The world economy has entered a dangerous phase in which geopolitics, energy, and finance are colliding. When G-7 finance ministers gather to discuss the fallout from the Iran war, they are not
The Devil Wears Redundancy Notice
There is a certain irony in the fact that The Devil Wears Prada 2 opens in cinemas today. The sequel is set in a world of declining print media — Miranda Priestly and Andy
Who Is Rahm Emanuel? The Pragmatic Fighter Eyeing the 2028 Presidency
In the crowded field of potential 2028 Democratic presidential contenders, Rahm Emanuel stands out not for charisma or viral moments but for something rarer in today’s politics: a record of getting things
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